{"id":6953,"date":"2026-01-28T14:05:52","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T13:05:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/carlroth.blog\/how-climate-change-is-changing-the-laboratory\/"},"modified":"2026-03-24T11:39:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T10:39:55","slug":"how-climate-change-is-changing-the-laboratory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/carlroth.blog\/en\/how-climate-change-is-changing-the-laboratory\/","title":{"rendered":"How climate change is changing the laboratory"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How a 2 \u00b0C shift is a whole world of difference for analyses <\/h2>\n\n<p><br\/>Two degrees Celsius: that is the target the political leaders have set. Many experts are already predicting that even this seemingly small global temperature change will have enormous impact on our environment. <\/p>\n\n<p>We want to set up a different scenario here that asks the question: what does a difference of 2 \u00b0C actually signify in instrumental analysis? In a thought experiment, we therefore remove all means of temperature control from the analysis devices in the laboratory and look to see how big \u2013 or indeed how little \u2013 an impact an ambient temperature increase from 20 \u00b0C to 22 \u00b0C has on the measurement result.  <\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">When enzymes go haywire: biochemical analysis in climate change<\/h3>\n\n<p>The warming has a most dramatic impact on enzymatic reactions. Almost every clinical laboratory uses enzymes to identify glucose, cholesterol and other relevant biomolecules. The enzyme reactions largely follow what\u2019s known as the <strong>Q\u2081\u2080 rule<\/strong>: this states that enzyme activity doubles with every ten degree increase in temperature.  <\/p>\n\n<p>This relationship between reaction speed and temperature is also known as van&#8217;t Hoff&#8217;s Law, after Jacobus Henricus van \u2019t Hoff, the Dutch Chemist who formulated it in 1884 (expanded in 1889 by Svante Arrhenius to become the Arrhenius equation).<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>A two degree rise in temperature increases enzyme activity by almost 15 percent.<\/strong> This has consequences for medical tests, such as establishing blood sugar levels. A glucose assay that gives a correct reading of 100 mg\/dl at 20 \u00b0C, for instance, would measure as high as 115 mg\/dl at 22 \u00b0C. In diabetes diagnostics, this could be the difference between \u201chealthy\u201d and \u201cin need of treatment\u201d.  <\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A shake-up for pH values<\/h3>\n\n<p>The pH value is also sensitive to temperature changes. Buffer solutions that are intended to keep pH values stable show that even a change of just a few degrees can cause a temperature-related drift. <\/p>\n\n<p>The temperature dependency of the pH value is primarily down to the <strong>self-ionisation of water<\/strong>. This shifts towards the ionic product as an endothermic reaction <strong>when temperature rises<\/strong>, causing <strong>the pH value to fall<\/strong> (increase in H\u207a concentration). <\/p>\n\n<p>H\u2082O \u21cc H\u207a + OH\u207b<\/p>\n\n<p>Buffer systems are also temperature-dependent because of the <strong>dissociation constant<\/strong> K<sub>a<\/sub>, as evidenced by the van&#8217;t Hoff equation:<\/p>\n\n<p>dln(K<sub>a<\/sub>)\/dT = \u0394H\u00b0\/(RT\u00b2)<\/p>\n\n<p>As well as temperature-dependent dissociation of the buffer and the self-ionisation of the water, the ionic activity is also subject to temperature dependency.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"has-white-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-elements-ae501d87d5d6089f1067189b8a3629af\" style=\"background-color:#6b7a87\">As per the equation for <strong>activity coefficient \u03b3,<\/strong> the following applies:<br\/><br\/>log \u03b3 = -A(T) \u00d7 z\u00b2 \u00d7 \u221aI \/ (1 + B(T) \u00d7 a \u00d7 \u221aI)<br\/><br\/>The Debye-H\u00fcckel parameters A and B here are dependent on the permittivity \u03b5(T) and density \u03c1(T) of the water, which are themselves temperature-dependent. However, the influence this factor has on the pH-value is negligible. <\/p>\n\n<p>All these influences are very labour-intensive to calculate in detail. For small temperature changes, however, they can get close in linear terms, which in practice is indicative of a simplified equation of the temperature dependency: <\/p>\n\n<p>pH(T) = pH(T\u2080) + \u03b1 \u00d7 (T &#8211; T\u2080)<\/p>\n\n<p>Where \u03b1 is the temperature coefficient that is calculated specifically for a buffer system (normally specified by the manufacturer). Consequently, the change in pH for a typical phosphate buffer at a temperature change of 2 \u00b0C is as follows: <\/p>\n\n<p>pH(20 \u00b0C) = 7,0000<\/p>\n\n<p>pH(22 \u00b0C) = 7,0000 + (-0,0028\/\u00b0C \u00d7 2\u00b0C) = 6, 9944<\/p>\n\n<p>which in turn gives<\/p>\n\n<p>H\u207a concentration at i 20 \u00b0C: 10\u207b\u2077 mol\/l = 1,000 \u00d7 10\u207b\u2077 mol\/l<\/p>\n\n<p>H\u207a concentration at 22 \u00b0C: 10\u207b\u2076&#8217;\u2079\u2079\u2074\u2074 mol\/l = 1,013 \u00d7 10\u207b\u2077 mol\/l<\/p>\n\n<p>This equates to a <strong>percentage change of +1.3%.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>A phosphate buffer with a pH of 7.0 at 20 \u00b0C drops to <strong>pH 6.994<\/strong> at 22 \u00b0C. Though this may sound very little, it signifies a <strong>1.3 increase in the concentration of hydrogen ions<\/strong>, determined by the logarithmic interplay of the pH scale (changing the pH value by 1 results in the hydrogen ion concentration changing by a factor of 10). The high measurement requirements of certain analyses means even a deviation such as this could have consequences, for example if it is a precipitation reaction or a biochemical reaction that is pH-sensitive.  <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"has-white-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-elements-e2d6b1d509dc7c74e809ca0ac47db0c7\" style=\"background-color:#6b7a87\">IN THE SPOTLIGHT: acidification of the oceans<br\/> <br\/>Although only a thought experiment inside the lab, this effect is already being seen today in the<strong> world\u2019s oceans: the pH-value is getting notably lower<\/strong>. However, this is not down to the temperature dependency of the pH value, but a result of the fact that warmer water absorbs less CO\u2082 from the atmosphere \u2013 <strong>with dramatic consequences for the marine ecosystem.<\/strong>  <br\/><br\/>Der Anstieg des CO\u2082-Gehalts des Meerwassers samt pH-Abfall ist dabei haupts\u00e4chlich eine Folge des CO\u2082-Partialdruckanstiegs in der Atmosph\u00e4re. Da sich mit steigender Temperatur immer weniger CO\u2082 in den Ozeanen l\u00f6st und das Meer als Pufferspeicher entf\u00e4llt, nimmt der CO\u2082-Gehalt in der Atmosph\u00e4re bei anhaltender Produktion immer schneller zu. Hierdurch wird die Differenz zwischen CO\u2082-Gehalt in der Atmosph\u00e4re und im Wasser immer gr\u00f6\u00dfer, der CO\u2082-Partialdruck erh\u00f6ht sich. Durch diese Differenz wird CO\u2082 gleichsam in das Ozeanwasser \u201ahineingedr\u00fcckt\u2018 \u2013 mit den bekannten Folgen der \u00dcbers\u00e4uerung der Meere.   <br\/><br\/>Since industrialisation began, the average surface temperature of the world\u2019s oceans has risen by around 1 \u00b0C, while the pH value of the oceans has fallen from around 8.2 to 8.1 \u2013 a seemingly small change with massive consequences. This 0.1 change in pH equates to an <strong>almost 30 percent increase in acid concentration [1].<\/strong> <br\/><br\/><strong>The mechanism behind this is easily explained: <\/strong>atmospheric CO\u2082 dissolves in sea water and forms carbonic acid through an equilibrium reaction [3]:<br\/><br\/>CO\u2082 + H\u2082O \u21cc H\u2082CO\u2083 \u21cc H\u207a + HCO\u2083\u207b<br\/><br\/>More CO\u2082 means more H\u207a ions and, in turn, a lower pH value. <strong>What impact does this change have? <\/strong>Corals may struggle to build up their carbonate skeleton (calcium carbonate CaCO\u2083 is sensitive to acids), meaning their exoskeletons become thinner and more fragile [2].<br\/><br\/>The <strong>shells <\/strong>of pteropods (a type of sea snail), for instance, are <strong>up to 37 percent thinner<\/strong> in acidic water than in less acidic seawater [4]. In especially acidic regions of the ocean, these organisms are already showing <strong>signs of dissolution <\/strong>on their shells [4, 5]. <br\/><br\/>By the year 2100, the ocean\u2019s pH value could fall by a further <strong>0.3 to 0.4<\/strong> [6] \u2013 which would equate to acid concentrations of <strong>two or three times<\/strong> current levels. What that means for entire food chains, which often start with shell-forming organisms, is something only marine biologists can explain. According to experts\u2019 estimates, this poses a particular threat to cold-tempered coral reefs and polar sea regions [6].  <br\/><br\/>While the temperature (and therefore the pH value) can be controlled in the laboratory, the world\u2019s oceans have no such defence against the changing climate. <strong>The acidification of the oceans is one of the greatest ecological challenges<\/strong> of our time and it is plain to see it cannot be ignored: every tenth of a degree saved counts when it comes to global warming.<\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chromatography precision declines<\/h3>\n\n<p>In <strong>high-performance liquid chromatography<\/strong> (HPLC), a temperature difference of just 2 \u00b0C causes a notable <strong>shift in retention times.<\/strong> This is primarily a result of the partition equilibrium between the stationary and mobile phase, which changes with the temperature. The <strong>van&#8217;t Hoff equation<\/strong> describes this as follows: <\/p>\n\n<p>ln(k&#8217;) = -\u0394H\u00b0\/(RT) + \u0394S\u00b0\/R + ln \u03a6<\/p>\n\n<p>Where k&#8217; is the retention factor, \u0394H\u00b0 the standard enthalpy of the analyte partition between the phases, \u0394S\u00b0 is the corresponding entropy change, R is the gas constant, T the absolute temperature and \u03a6 the phase ratio of the columns.<\/p>\n\n<p>The formula shows a <strong>reverse temperature dependency<\/strong>: that is to say, higher temperatures lead to lower retention factors and, in turn, shorter retention times. <strong>As a rule of thumb for small analyte molecules, the retention reduces falls by two percent for every degree the temperature increases. [7] <\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>Parallel to the partition equilibrium, the <strong>viscosity <\/strong>of the solvent also changes: it falls by 2.2 percent, which reduces the column pressure and influences the subsequent separation. For a pharmaceutical company checking the purity of medication, variations such as these would have a profound impact. Quantitative assessments would be systematically incorrect and the method validation would have to be completely revised.  <\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conductivity measurements drift away<\/h3>\n\n<p>The <strong>electrical conductivity<\/strong> of solutions increases in a linear relationship with temperature \u2013 by approximately <strong>two percent per degree.<\/strong> Consequently, a two-degree warming means an <strong>increase of four percent.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>A saline solution of 1000 \u00b5S\/cm at 20 degrees suddenly shows 1040 \u00b5S\/cm at 22 degrees. In <strong>water analysis<\/strong>, for example this would lead to false readings for ion concentration. <strong>Drinking water limit values<\/strong> could appear exceeded, when in actual fact nothing in the composition has changed. <\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">When reference electrodes give false values<\/h3>\n\n<p>Not even <strong>electrochemistry <\/strong>is spared the effects. The <strong>Nernst equation<\/strong> \u2013 at the heart of all electrochemical measurements \u2013 incorporates the temperature in its figures: <strong>E = E\u2080 + (RT\/nF) \u00d7 ln(Q).<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n<p>The <strong>Nernst factor<\/strong> RT\/F increases from 58.85 mV per decade at 20 \u00b0C to 59.16 mV at 22 \u00b0C. That equates to an increase of <strong>0.53%<\/strong> \u2013 enough for pH electrodes to systematically display false values. <\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h3>\n\n<p>The thought experiment shows: temperature is a critical quality factor in many areas of analysis. <strong>Even a difference of just two degrees Celsius can result in significant change<\/strong>, whether in terms of enzyme reactions, pH values or other temperature-dependent factors, such as electrical conductivity, viscosity or ion solubility.<\/p>\n\n<p>In laboratory work, precise temperature measurement, adjustment calculus in the systems and exact temperature control are necessary to ensure analytical results are always reproducible. This is why it is important to have measuring devices regularly maintained and to check their calibration or recalibrate them. <\/p>\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n<p><strong>Sources:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p><br\/>[1] American Scientist: Ocean acidification: the other climate change issue &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanscientist.org\/article\/ocean-acidification-the-other-climate-change-issue\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.americanscientist.org\/article\/ocean-acidification-the-other-climate-change-issue<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p>[2] Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution: Scientists identify how ocean acidification weakens coral skeletons &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whoi.edu\/press-room\/news-release\/scientists-identify-how-ocean-acidification-weakens-coral-skeletons\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.whoi.edu\/press-room\/news-release\/scientists-identify-how-ocean-acidification-weakens-coral-skeletons\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p>[3] Ocean Acidification ICC: Why ocean acidification is called climate change&#8217;s evil twin &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/news-oceanacidification-icc.org\/2024\/12\/25\/why-ocean-acidification-is-called-climate-changes-evil-twin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/news-oceanacidification-icc.org\/2024\/12\/25\/why-ocean-acidification-is-called-climate-changes-evil-twin\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p>[4] NCBI PMC: Pteropod shell thinning in natural CO\u2082 gradients &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/articles\/PMC7814018\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/articles\/PMC7814018\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p>[5] Coast Adapt: Ocean acidification and its effects &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/coastadapt.com.au\/ocean-acidification-and-its-effects\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/coastadapt.com.au\/ocean-acidification-and-its-effects<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p>[6] European Environment Agency: Ocean acidification indicators &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eea.europa.eu\/en\/analysis\/indicators\/ocean-acidification\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.eea.europa.eu\/en\/analysis\/indicators\/ocean-acidification<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p>[7] <a href=\"https:\/\/www.chromatographyonline.com\/view\/how-much-retention-time-variation-normal-0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.chromatographyonline.com\/view\/how-much-retention-time-variation-normal-0<\/a><\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><br\/>Calculations<\/h3>\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><br\/>Enzyme activity<\/h4>\n\n<p><strong>Formula:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>v(T) = v\u2080 \u00d7 Q\u2081\u2080<sup>((T-T\u2080)\/10 \u00b0C)<\/sup><\/p>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>v(T)<\/strong> = velocity at temperature T<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>v\u2080<\/strong> = initial velocity at reference temperature T\u2080<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Q\u2081\u2080<\/strong> = temperature coefficient (for enzymes this is typically 2)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>T<\/strong> = new temperature<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>T\u2080<\/strong> = reference temperature<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\/10 \u00b0C<\/strong>, because Q\u2081\u2080 is defined as applying to increments of 10 \u00b0C<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p><strong>Example calculation:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>v\u2080 = 100 U\/ml at 20 \u00b0C; mit U = enzyme activity&gt;&gt; 1 Unit = 1 \u03bcmol substrate min<sup>-1<\/sup><br\/>v(22\u00b0C) = 100 U\/ml \u00d7 2<sup>((22 \u00b0C-20 \u00b0C)\/10 \u00b0C)<\/sup><br\/>v(22\u00b0C) = 114,9 U\/ml <strong>&gt;&gt; Percentage change: +14.9%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><br\/>Electrical conductivity<\/h4>\n\n<p><strong>Formula:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>\u03ba(T) = \u03ba(T\u2080) \u00d7 [1 + \u03b1 \u00d7 (T &#8211; T\u2080)]<br\/>where \u03b1 \u2248 0,02\/\u00b0C for most aqueous solutions<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Example calculation:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>initial conductivity: 1.000 \u00b5S\/cm bei 20 \u00b0C<br\/>\u03ba(22\u00b0C) = 1.000 \u00b5S\/cm \u00d7 [1 + 0,02 \u00d7 (22 &#8211; 20)]<br\/>\u03ba(22\u00b0C) = 1.000 \u00b5S\/cm \u00d7 [1 + 0,04] = 1.040 \u00b5S\/cm<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Percentage change: +4.0%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><br\/>Nernst voltage<\/h4>\n\n<p><strong>Formula:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>E = E\u2080 + (RT\/nF) \u00d7 ln(Q)<\/p>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>R = 8,314 J\/(mol\u00b7K), F = 96.485 C\/mol<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>RT\/F at 20\u00b0C = 25,69 mV, at 22\u00b0C = 25,86 mV<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p><strong>Example calculation:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>where n = 1 (monovalent ions):<\/p>\n\n<p>RT\/F at 20 \u00b0C: 25,69 mV<br\/>RT\/F at 22 \u00b0C: 25,86 mV<\/p>\n\n<p>Nernst factor (59,16 mV\/Dekade at 25\u00b0C):<\/p>\n\n<p>at 20 \u00b0C: 58.85 mV\/decade <br\/>at 22 \u00b0C: 59.16 mV\/decade<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Percentage change: +0.53%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><br\/>Viscosity<\/h4>\n\n<p><strong>Formula (Arrhenius-type equation):<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>\u03b7(T) = \u03b7\u2080 \u00d7 exp[B \u00d7 (1\/T &#8211; 1\/T\u2080)]<br\/>With factor B = Ea(water)\/R = 7870 J\/mol \/ 8314 J\/(mol\u00b7K) = 946.9 K<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Example calculation:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>T\u2080 = 293,15 K (20 \u00b0C), T = 295,15 K (22 \u00b0C)<br\/>\u03b7\u2080 = 1,002 mPa\u00b7s (water at 20 \u00b0C)<\/p>\n\n<p>\u03b7(22\u00b0C) = 1,002 mPa\u00b7s \u00d7 exp[946,9 K \u00d7 (1\/295,15 K &#8211; 1\/293,15 K)]<br\/>\u03b7(22\u00b0C) = 1,002 mPa\u00b7s \u00d7 exp(-0,0219)<br\/>\u03b7(22\u00b0C) = 1,002 mPa\u00b7s \u00d7 0,978 = 0,980 mPa\u00b7s<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Percentage change: -2.2%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":6874,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[659],"tags":[890,888,744,800,889],"class_list":["post-6953","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-roth-xplains","tag-aktivitatskoeffizient","tag-biochemische-analytik","tag-klimawandel-en","tag-labor-en","tag-ph-wert"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.1.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How climate change is changing the laboratory - Carl ROTH<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"What does a 2 \u00b0C difference mean in instrumental analysis? 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